Tuesday, August 14, 2007

What To Do In This Declining Market?

We are hearing the Chicken Little cry all over again. This time is it with real estate. "The sky is falling, the sky is falling".....


Media headlines are splashing with screaming reports, "Sales of new homes fell in June - largest amount in 5 months and WORST DOWNTURN in 16 years".... quoted MSNBC. Foreclosure rates are at its highest, it is more difficult to qualify for loans. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported recently that the sales of existing homes dropped to its slowest pace since November 2002 and the decline was twice worse than expected. Some economists say that the weakness in housing could linger well into 2008. The rise and fall of the US Stock Market is clearly not helping either. We recently hit the highest point at the Dow Jones at 14,000 points (July 19 2007) but it did not last long. Before we know it, we were riding the roller coaster downhill plunging over 500 points over 2-days by the following week (July 26 and 27). People at Wall Street is calling this a Meltdown.


So, as buyers and sellers in the current real estate market, what should you do in the mean time? Sellers: Should you retract your house on the market, make plans to continue stay where you are at? Is that possible for your plan(s)? Buyers: Is holding off your plans a possibility because interest rates are heading higher? Or would now be a great time because Sellers are more open to offers?

When purchasing a property to house your family, even though there are investment and appreciation factors to consider, what really goes on with the "market" should not be the MAIN deciding factor on whether you want to buy (for buyers) or sell (for sellers). No doubt that it can be much more challenging than ever for Sellers, hence partnering with a local market area expect is key in bringing you the success you are looking for. At the same time, when you purchase a house and plan to make it a home - haven for your family, chances are these relatively "short" term commotions should not affect your major purchase decision.

Be in the Buying or Selling market now to fit your schedule and circumstances now. And not how the market is doing. Since you are making this decision on as long-term decision for your family needs, the short term swings of the real estate and stock markets should not hinder your plans. If you try to make your long-term buying/ selling decision based on short term affects, what you are trying to do is to "time" the market.


Just like participating in buying and selling stocks (even though we know real estate is not as liquid as stocks), market timing known as the attempt to predict the future price of houses, can be a dangerous strategy. It becomes more of a gamble. Is the happiness of your family worth the risks? Hence, sticking to the safer path is like walking on solid grounds.

Purchase or sell a house when you are ready. It is the BEST time to do it. Not when other factors affect you. Worst still, factors beyond your control such as higher interest rates, rising and falling of the stock markets and whether your neighbor is in foreclosure or not.


If you are considering a real estate purchase or sale in the North Texas real estate market, I will be delighted to speak to you. I work in the Frisco, McKinney, Allen, Prosper, Celina, Little Elm, Richardson, Dallas, etc. (Denton, Collin and Dallas counties).